thecampster

Don't be surprised if Supes isn't on later today or tomorrow with an update.

Okay so some people make it sound like "everyone can go solar....its so easy". Somehow some way the installers convinced the inspector to pass the house based on their word the repairs were done. I did the smoke alarms and they moved the panels but make no mistake, the system is still not working. I had to go out and properly setup the batteries to stop the island from throwing errors. Solar company couldn't figure it out...yes the "PROs". The inverter maker "SMA" decided not to support it because even though they have an "other" setting in their inverters...they don't support "other". So I had to figure it out. The Islands are no longer throwing errors. But now that the charging/grid half of the install is right, the DC inverters are stating the installers wired it wrong. Throwing 1001 errors...L/N (load/neutral) swapped. I set it up right Thursday on the islands to get to these new errors and the earliest they can get out to do voltage testing and figure out where they screwed up is Tuesday or Wednesday (yes they couldn't give me a day and I'm getting very close to hiring one of the board's legal eagles). The panels have been on the roof (or most of them) for about a month now and I still am not generating power or living off the batteries at night. This whole rush to going green comes with some serious bumps in the road. The installers insisted I go with common components they've worked with before and then come to find out the last time they did an SMA install with 2 phase power was 2 years ago. After some calling around I've found out this is par for the course in the solar industry. That often the best installs are the one the home owner does himself.

So here's the reality. The Hawks have close to $50 million to spend, trade for this year and someone is going to be here that greatly improves this team. When you consider we played without Capela, Skal, Teague for most of the year or none of the year and no Collins for 25 games...this team is going to be much, much better this year. I'm not really worried about future assets at this point. All future assets will most probably not be in the lottery.

Well and there's cap room left after that as well. I signed Teague for $5 mil/per Accepted the offer on Skal at $7 mil/ Put Paul George on the team and removed the 1st round pick. If you add Brandon Goodwin, that puts you at 12 rostered players and approximately $14 million left to spend. That's an awful lot to throw at someone worthwhile or to bring someone else star level by sending out Dedmon.

I'm sitting here trying to see the down side. So we run out Trae, Cam, PG, Collins, Capela and have a bench with Teague, Huerter, Hunter, Skal, Dedmon....am I missing something? That's pretty deep compared to where we were in January. Basically a 1 -2 year rental. If he doesn't work out, we sell him to a rebuilding team after the season who wants to clear cap room.

We have money to spend and are going to spend it on someone. All I need is for someone to say we're going to get player "Z" who is better. I'd settle for players x, y, and Z who are cumulatively better.

Seriously...I mean we all remember a few star NBA players took exception to Trae clowning them with ease. One Trae paid for with a body check. This new crop of players the last 3 or 4 years have a different level of handles and attitude.

Watch his feet while he shoots. He gets off the ground, ball goes back, hangs, starts to come down and shoots. This is all arms and wrists...no legs. There is no point of jumping if you aren't using that momentum to gain velocity on the ball. Shooting through the explosion makes the ball carry easy and is easier to guide. Shooting all hands and arms leads to fatigue and variance on the shot. This is terrible jump shooter form. https://www.google.com/search?q=proper+jump+shooting+form&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS919US919&oq=proper+jump+shooting+form&aqs=chrome..69i57.4143j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#kpvalbx=_dsGJX9jNPLGyggen6YQo15 1:30 of this video begins the best explanation of this I've found.

I would take a serious flyer on Boogie. He would look very nice getting 15-20 minutes per game backing up Capela/Collins in a 6th man type of a role. We have the money and I'm thinking $8 million year one with a raise year two mutual option. effectively its a 1 year deal.

JC is a few years into the contract process. The Hawks control Reddish at an incredible price. Think like a GM for a sec. You know the Hawks should make the playoffs this year but who is going to set you up to compete for a championship in 3 years (our realistic timeline right now). This is Reddish' contract going forward. number in millions. YEAR AGE BASE SALARY CAP HIT 2020-21 21 $4.458 $4.458 2021-22 22 $4.670 $4.670 2022-23 23 $5.954 $5.954 2023-24 24 QO: $8.11 Hold: $17.86 So for the next 4 seasons we control Reddish, who is already a bonafide starter with future star potential for an average of just over $5 million per season. Hunter - 4 seasons at 9.3 million average. his 4th year offer is 4 million higher than Reddish. Huerter - 3 seasons at 4.3 million average. His 3rd year is a reasonable $6 million. Collins - 2 seasons at $5 million average but you know he's going to get paid. So 3 seasons from now when we should be in the championship mix. Compare value to salary. Reddish $5.9 mil, Huerter $6.1 mil, Hunter $9.8 mil, Young $11 mil, JC $20+ mil. That's thinking like a GM. So looking at it like that....who are you most willing to part with and who is untouchable? This is why Trae and Reddish are the only real untouchables on the roster. You won't be able to get year 4 Reddish from anyone for under $6 mil/season.

Thanks

So we failed 1st inspection due to new regulations on smoke detectors and the inspectors unfamiliarity with parts of the solar code. In the interim, we ran in to problems. Once the batteries filled, the system complained it can't speak Chinese bios. We had to reinstall the batteries as "other" not Lithium Bios. After that, the panels wouldn't send juice to the grid. I have technically passed inspection but the system is still not usable. Hoping the team is out today to get the rest of the system online.

Anyone subscribe to the Athletic? I'm too cheap to subscribe to anything...but I 'm interested in the Hawks related parts of this article https://theathletic.com/1710471/2020/10/14/hollinger-predicting-all-41-nba-player-and-team-options-for-2020-free-agency/?source=freedailyemail

Not a lot of use using the trade machine right now. The salaries will be altered, cap altered before these trades can be completed. I can't say this enough.....Cam Reddish isn't going anywhere. If there are 2 untouchables on the Hawks roster right now they are Trae and Cam.

Yes....Huerter is a commodity. Ball handling, 40% 3 pt shooting with above average passing skills....yes, people believe they can fix what ails him.

When will new math be old?

So the league is talking about starting back up in mid January. So think about my previous statement. College players haven't played in almost 7 months...no summer league. No predraft workouts. They'll be drafted Nov 18th and possibly be in training camp expected to act like a pro 45 days later. Expected to make mature decisions about their health, social distancing, etc....think really hard about this because those are part of the discussions now come draft night.

more than 1/2 the second round will be that. The league feels this draft class is horribly developed due to Covid. Also that the league got in way more time thanks to the bubble and the long lay off makes college players that much farther behind. They don't know how their conditioning is, nothing. Total crap shoot.

To be clear, I do not know the deal Supes is referring to. I have a guess but I don't know. I just verified with him it wasn't 2x 2 week old deals I'd heard we were pitched but said...."lemme think about that...I'll get back with you". They were good enough to consider but hamstring type deals where doing the deal pushes you in a direction you'd have to build around. One was a bad fit. One was short term. He verified that it was neither...both of those were effectively rejected. So I'm in the dark too on this.

Let me take a second to talk about the draft and value. Most of the draft missed out on 15+ games of instruction, conference tourneys and the NCAA tourney. That is valuable development time. Most of the programs were not allowed to hold workouts during that time There is significantly less tape, less medical knowledge, less development for this round of what was already seen as a weaker draft class. There are teams who are very interested in players in this draft solely because they can stash them on their roster as a low fixed 4 year salary. There is significant interest in acquiring picks in the 20 range and not in the lottery. Its bonkers. Teams don't feel they know enough about the lottery players except for the few who played last year as well. There is very little Euro buzz save for a few players. The buzz, the only buzz is for Lamelo and if you could take Lamelo 2020 and put him in the draft last year he would not go top 5. If you put him in 2 years ago he'd struggle to make the top 10. Cam Reddish went 10 last year...Lamelo does not have the ceiling of Cam. Let that sink in. This years draft is a crap shoot like no other year. Nobody knows what anyone would do as far as picks go. Its that jacked up right now.

Atlanta looks at 6, 3 ways - will the player be good enough to get rotation minutes year 2. they don't feel this draft is good enough to get a rotational player at 6 who isn't redundant. They feel the most value is higher in the draft or flipping 6 for a rotational player now. If they draft at 6 its because they couldn't get a reasonable offer for it. They don't want to flip it for 1 unless they can then flip 1 for play now talent. The pool of teams that have a desire for the 1st pick, salary room to fit the first pick salary, player in return worthy of the 1st pick, the need to drop a salary and stuff to go with it is about 5 or 6 total teams at most. That's the rub. probably lower than 14, higher than 25...that range.

Out - 2022 OKC first (likely 10-20 range), out #6 - In James Johnson + #1. Atlanta turns and flips #1 for established vet with salary + lower pick. It was a two part thought separated out.

We will listen to offers for Huerter, Hunter, JC, Capela in that order of availableness but we are in the driver seat with all the cap room....the offers have to be "I get fired if I don't do this" level. We aren't shopping them. Teams have come to us. We've been shopping our cap flexibility, future assets.

It isn't Gobert...though funny story...they did shop Gobert...even to us. They wanted a pick +?.

There's filler but nothing substantial.