Can the Hawks win 25 HOME games?

[TheNorthCydeRises]

In this East last year, this was pretty much the formula for making the playoffs. Only New Jersey didn't win 25 home games, but they did win 24.

If you look at all of the playoff teams last year, only Jersey and Denver were able to make it in the playoffs, despite winning less than 25 home games. On the flip side, only the Clippers didn't get in the playoffs, despite winning 25 home games.

25 home wins is pretty much the "magic number" for getting in the playoffs. Toronto and Golden St made their leap last year, by winning 30 home games.

05 - 06: All but Chicago ( 21 wins ) . . missed: Orlando ( 26 )

04 - 05: All but Jersey ( 24 wins ) . . missed: Cleveland ( 29 ), LA Clippers ( 27 )

03 - 04: All but New York ( 23 wins ) and Boston ( 19 wins ) . . missed: Utah ( 28 ), Portland ( 25 ), and Golden St ( 27 ) . . Note: the East was HORRIFIC that year )

02 - 03: None of the playoff teams had less than 25 home wins . . missed: Houston ( 28 ), Atlanta ( 26 ), Seattle ( 25 ), and Chicago ( 27 ).

Those were the "playoff guarantee" Hawks, that went 26 - 15 at home, but went 9 - 32 on the road. And that Chicago team that year went an incredible 3 - 38 on the road

The past 3 years, our road wins have totaled 4, 8, and 12 respectively. LOL . . I guess if you follow the pattern, we should win 16 road games this year.

25 + 16 = 41.

And 41 wins should get us in.

[Iman]

Nice post.

I don't see homecourt being as big an advantage for the Hawks as it is for most teams. We don't have much of a fanbase yet to motivate the players and Woodson seems to get these guys to play hard even on the road.

[TroyMcClure]

I'd say 17 - 21. Something like that. We're still a better team on the road. People overlook us. Especially other fans. We sneak up on people on the road.

[TheNorthCydeRises]

So far so good with the 11 - 7 home record.

That puts us right on pace to win 25 at home. With the Hawks already playing some of the top West teams at home, it looks as if we can reach that 25 win home mark. Every home game, especially vs the East teams, becomes huge right now. I'll sacrifice some home losses against the West, if we can take care of business against the East at home.

[TroyMcClure]

After last night's game, I'm sticking with the 17-21 prediction.

[TheNorthCydeRises]

In the words of Obama and his supporters . . YES WE CAN!!!

And we needed ALL of those 25 wins too. Ish, we may need to win 27 at home, just to be on the safe side.

[TheTruth]

I think you are right. I think have a good chance of winning close to 27. We gotta start playing better defense though...

And I swear, you use "ish" like every other sentence. Haha...

[TheNorthCydeRises]

Quote:

---

02 - 03: None of the playoff teams had less than 25 home wins . . missed: Houston ( 28 ),

Atlanta ( 26 )

, Seattle ( 25 ), and Chicago ( 27 ).

Those were the "playoff guarantee" Hawks, that went 26 - 15 at home, but went 9 - 32 on the road. And that Chicago team that year went an incredible

3 - 38 on the road

Good Lord. We DO play like the "playoff guarantee" Hawks of 02 - 03. That team literally gave away too many road games.

And that team didn't have a bench and HEAVILY relied on a core 6 or so players as well.