DavidSomerset Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 Has us as the #8 seed. http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/playoffodds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHayley Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 I have a hard time thinking Portland only has a 0.1 % chance of making it .The Hornets aren't amazing, and don't forget about the Nuggets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DawsonsCreek Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 They way our team looks now...I would say 50 percent. This team has been treading water and will continue to do so until some sort of change is made (whether it be a coach or a player move). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyman3 Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 the system is weird. how do we have a 60% chance when Bobcats (a team w/ 1 less win than us) has 0% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prolific25 Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 The Bobcats have had an extremely soft schedule to begin the year and I believe they have something like 17 of their last 25 games on the road(where they can't win) which means that they are much more likely to get even worse as the year goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nicholasp27 Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 this is all math-based and simulation-based he took the stats for the year thus far, which includes strengths of schedules and such, and ran a simulation 5000 times for the rest of the season then he put results on that page...so in 59.9% of those 5000 simulations, we made the playoffs; in the best one(s), we won 50 games; in the worst one(s), we won 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nicholasp27 Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 note: these auto-update every night so we'll see what they say tomorrow after our game tonite, etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHayley Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 Well it'd be impossible to do a prediction of this team, seeing that we can beat the best teams in the NBA, but lose to the Sonics and Wizards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawk88 Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 Cool link, and very Encouraging!!!!!!!!!!!! Wow, if we can make the playoffs, doubly great seeing as Pheonix will be receiving our non lottery draft pick. Makes the Joe Johnson trade look even better. I bet Phoenix is hating that trade now, if for no other reason that they signed Diaw to that bloated contract! That stiff, even steve nash could only make him good for so long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNorthCydeRises Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 Very true. But Hollinger's simulation states that even with how we are playing now, we"re still most likely a high 30 win team, that barely gets in the playoffs. The reason why, is because of our usually good team defense, and the fact that the majority of the East have same consitency problems that we have. That's why I don"t stress when I watch the Hawks. I know going in that I don't know which team will show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Packfill Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 Quote: Cool link, and very Encouraging!!!!!!!!!!!! Wow, if we can make the playoffs, doubly great seeing as Pheonix will be receiving our non lottery draft pick. Makes the Joe Johnson trade look even better. I bet Phoenix is hating that trade now, if for no other reason that they signed Diaw to that bloated contract! That stiff, even steve nash could only make him good for so long. Correct me if I am wrong but is Phoenix not one of the top teams in the league? Did they not make the playoffs last year? Was the reason they have not won a championship because they lacked perimeter scorers or did it have something to do with a lack of interior defense, which obviously JJ would have provided? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TexasPete Posted December 6, 2007 Report Share Posted December 6, 2007 The formula hasn't taken into account the Woody factor. No simulation is complete without factoring in the incompetant head coach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now