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Hollinger on the Hawks signing Joe Johnson ... from 2005


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Found this while searching for Hollinger draft articles. Classic example of putting too much stock into stats.

http://www.hawksquaw...__1&#entry96141

2. Joe Johnson, Atlanta Hawks (five years, $70 million, 17.3 pts, 5.2 reb, 15.18 PER)

Assuming this deal happens, it was bad enough for the Hawks to offer to pay Johnson roughly double what he's worth by giving him $14 million a year. It was bad enough that Atlanta's "plan" involves Johnson playing the point full-time, even though he gets into the paint about as often as Shawn Kemp gets into a leotard. But the real kicker for me is that the Hawks are now willing to fork out two No. 1 picks to Phoenix for the right to overpay Johnson so badly. Johnson's numbers have been inflated by all the minutes he's played, but on a per-minute basis he's a pretty ordinary player.

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I think this tells you not to look at Hollinger's stats. If you notice, Joe's PER is probably right around what Hollinger predicted. Problem is, or course, PER is a crap statistic.

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I would jump for joy if Hollinger and Joe's name were never mentioned here again.

Shout out to those who called me out on the Finals, too. I lost a bit of change, but I'm still cool, baby.

Edited by benhillboy
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