Anyone read this?

[Wurider05]

My link

All I can say is damn!!

t's never a good sign when, a full week before a player is set to put pen to paper to ink his most recent contract, that a good portion of the NBA community regards that contract as the worst it has ever seen.

Not the worst trade, nor the worst draft selection. And we're not talking about considering Joe Johnson's(notes) new contract with the Atlanta Hawks (as first reported by Adreian Wojnarowski) as the worst contract we've ever seen a few years into the deal, or a few years after it expires in retrospect.

We're feeling this way, right now. On July 1, seven days before he even gets to sign the deal. Worst contract, ever.

It's that bad. Six years, and $119 million dollars for a player regarded as a second option at best on a great team. At best. Johnson will be 29 years of age to start this contract, 35 to end it, so Atlanta will get his one peak season (unless last year's run of over 21 points and a combined 9.5 rebounds/assists was the best we've seen), and then the downfall.

At about $20 million a year.

Bear in mind that Johnson achieved those stats by absolutely dominating the ball for the Hawks. Just owning it, for large stretches, forcing either a potential score or a potential assist to be added to his ledger just about every other time down court. All while playing huge minutes, 38 per game in fact; which was actually the lowest mark we've seen from Johnson since his second year in the league.

[Photos: See Joe Johnson's moves on the court]

It's just an astonishing deal, on so many levels. A good part of me thinks that — because his stats are so inflated by his ball dominance and big minutes — that Johnson will be worth about half of his yearly salary next year (next year!), so imagine how far he'll taper off by 2016? Johnson isn't the most athletic player we've seen, he isn't tricky enough with the ball to get to the line much (a shocking 3.5 free-throw attempts per game, criminal for someone who has the ball so much, and for so long), and this isn't someone who will age well.

On top of that, didn't we watch him age quite considerably in the playoffs last season? Johnson averaged 11.8 points per game in the second round, shooting a terrifying 29.5 percent along the way. He seemed nonplussed as ever as his Hawks fell out of the second round again, and for the second time in five years, he's chosen big offseason money over a chance at a championship.

The Hawks? They're the big boys, here. They're supposed to be smarter than this, and in spite of all the talk about how this team had no choice but to stick with the status quo and see what happened? Bollocks.

This man could be nearly half of your salary cap in a few years. We have no idea how the new collective bargaining agreement will shake out, but even under the ridiculous payroll runs of the last six or seven years, handing nearly $120 million to a 29-year-old who has yet to do anything more meaningful than dribble a lot and shoot a lot and look real tired in January? It boggles the mind.

Yes, you're backed into a corner, and you can't afford to let your best offensive player go without any proper sign-and-trade compensation. I understand that, but signing above what you originally hoped to pay only goes so far. There has to be a cutoff price, at some point, and paying Joe Johnson around $20 million in 2015-16 has to be that point. Hell, paying Joe Johnson $20 million in 2011-12 has to be that point.

This is just an absurd contract that, even if the Hawks ownership is banking on selling the team midway through Johnson's deal as has been rumored, cannot be justified or argued-for in any meaningful way.

There's just no way around it. Joe is a nice player who might get to shoot himself into yet another All-Star berth next season. If he's lucky, the year after that, even. Give it to him. Let the Hawks roll to the second round again, earning the ownership a few more gate receipts as they take yet another first-round series to seven games.

Doesn't matter. As it stands, this is the worst free-agent contract I have ever seen. Roll over Eddy Curry(notes), tell Jim McIlvaine the news.

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Edited July 3, 2010 by Wurider05

[pimp]

MrH got negged for posting that the other day.

I guess some people can't handle brutal honesty, but it's hard to disagree with what this guy is saying .

[AHF]

Nothing to quibble about from an article that concludes JJ's deal would be worse than Eddy Curry's. :help wanted3:

[T21]

Well... if we're honest and realistic, we'll realize and understand that proposed deal could spell disaster for Hawks...

I don't want to sound negative, I want JJ back (no doubt!)... but not at this price!

At the same time, I understand that if we want to keep him we'll have to overpay for him, because frankly that's the only ace we've got!

JJ is a heck of a player, but not the one who's gonna take you to the promiseland (we all know that)...

By the way, Hawks were never intended to be a one man team... remember that we were originaly constructed and designed after the model of Detroit's championship team...

But let's get back to our main subject...

If I was runnin' Hawks, I would contemplate 2 scenarios:

1. Keepin' JJ, even if we break a bank! However, if we consciously do that, we must be determined to go all the way and land one or two key pieces and try to win it all! True center and a reliable pointguard... Otherwise, it would be a tragic waste of money!

2. If we're sure that we cannot build a championship caliber team for a next season or two, we must work out a S'n'T' for JJ and get some value in return (talent/exp.contracts/draft picks). That's how we keep options for the future wide open... we'd still have very good talent and flexibility to become big time players as soon as possible!

P.S. I don't think that JJ deal would become anywhere near next Eddie Curry deal... JJ will still be very productive and durable player for next 4-5 years.