So lets pull all of the Hype together

[Peoriabird]

How many points per game will each player average?  Here are my projections

 

    Player                                  PPG                                  APG                                   RPG

1. Trae Young                                         21                                                             10                                                             4.5

2. John Collins                                       22                                                              2.5                                                          10.5

3. Kevin Huerter                                    13                                                               3.5                                                           3

4. DeAndre Hunter                                 11                                                               2                                                             4.5

5. Alex Len                                             14                                                               2                                                              7.5

6. Cam Reddish                                      7                                                                1.5                                                            3.5

7. Jabari Parker                                      16                                                               2                                                               6

8. Allen Crabbe                                       6                                                                1.2                                                             2

9. Deandre Bembry                                 5                                                                 2                                                               3.5

10 Evan Turner                                       7                                                                  5                                                               3

11. Damien Jones                                  2                                                                  .3                                                              2

12 Bruno Fernando                                3                                                                  .2                                                              1

 

The total numbers add up to be way above the league averages but since every player won't play every game, then won't represent what the team will average every game.

 

[Buzzard]

20 minutes ago, Peoriabird said:

How many points per game will each player average?  Here are my projections

 

    Player                                  PPG                                  APG                                   RPG

1. Trae Young                                         21                                                             10                                                             4.5

2. John Collins                                       22                                                              2.5                                                          10.5

3. Kevin Huerter                                    13                                                               3.5                                                           3

4. DeAndre Hunter                                 11                                                               2                                                             4.5

5. Alex Len                                             14                                                               2                                                              7.5

6. Cam Reddish                                      7                                                                1.5                                                            3.5

7. Jabari Parker                                      16                                                               2                                                               6

8. Allen Crabbe                                       6                                                                1.2                                                             2

9. Deandre Bembry                                 5                                                                 2                                                               3.5

10 Evan Turner                                       7                                                                  5                                                               3

11. Damien Jones                                  2                                                                  .3                                                              2

12 Bruno Fernando                                3                                                                  .2                                                              1

 

The total numbers add up to be way above the league averages but since every player won't play every game, then won't represent what the team will average every game.

 

Trae = Close less assist

Collins = Close but a little high on points and boards but not much.

Huerter = Close

Hunter = Close

Len = Close

Reddish = Close

Parker = To high. I see 12 - 14 Pts

Crabbe = To low. I see 8-10 Pts

Bembry, Turner, Jones, Bruno = Close

 

Edited July 19, 2019 by Buzzard

[IheartVolt]

43 minutes ago, Peoriabird said:

How many points per game will each player average?  Here are my projections

 

    Player                                  PPG                                  APG                                   RPG

1. Trae Young                                         21                                                             10                                                             4.5

2. John Collins                                       22                                                              2.5                                                          10.5

3. Kevin Huerter                                    13                                                               3.5                                                           3

4. DeAndre Hunter                                 11                                                               2                                                             4.5

5. Alex Len                                             14                                                               2                                                              7.5

6. Cam Reddish                                      7                                                                1.5                                                            3.5

7. Jabari Parker                                      16                                                               2                                                               6

8. Allen Crabbe                                       6                                                                1.2                                                             2

9. Deandre Bembry                                 5                                                                 2                                                               3.5

10 Evan Turner                                       7                                                                  5                                                               3

11. Damien Jones                                  2                                                                  .3                                                              2

12 Bruno Fernando                                3                                                                  .2                                                              1

 

The total numbers add up to be way above the league averages but since every player won't play every game, then won't represent what the team will average every game.

 

I like it! It's impossible to gauge the rooks tho and you are selling Len a little short

[hazer]

Don’t forget: Bruno grabbed 10.6 rebounds per game last year. Concerns over his Summer League rebounding are misguided.

[Peoriabird]

1 hour ago, hazer said:

Don’t forget: Bruno grabbed 10.6 rebounds per game last year. Concerns over his Summer League rebounding are misguided.

He did it against children not grown men.  Plus his minutes will be limited

[REHawksFan]

2 hours ago, Peoriabird said:

How many points per game will each player average?  Here are my projections

 

    Player                                  PPG                                  APG                                   RPG

1. Trae Young                                         21                                                             10                                                             4.5

2. John Collins                                       22                                                              2.5                                                          10.5

3. Kevin Huerter                                    13                                                               3.5                                                           3

4. DeAndre Hunter                                 11                                                               2                                                             4.5

5. Alex Len                                             14                                                               2                                                              7.5

6. Cam Reddish                                      7                                                                1.5                                                            3.5

7. Jabari Parker                                      16                                                               2                                                               6

8. Allen Crabbe                                       6                                                                1.2                                                             2

9. Deandre Bembry                                 5                                                                 2                                                               3.5

10 Evan Turner                                       7                                                                  5                                                               3

11. Damien Jones                                  2                                                                  .3                                                              2

12 Bruno Fernando                                3                                                                  .2                                                              1

 

The total numbers add up to be way above the league averages but since every player won't play every game, then won't represent what the team will average every game.

 

I'll play......

  Player                                  PPG                                  APG                                   RPG

1. Trae Young                                         23                                                             10.5                                                         4.5

2. John Collins                                       22                                                              2.5                                                          10.5

3. Kevin Huerter                                    16                                                               4.5                                                           5

4. DeAndre Hunter                                  8                                                               3                                                             6

5. Alex Len                                             14.5                                                             2                                                            7.5

6. Cam Reddish                                      9.5                                                            3.5                                                            4.5

7. Jabari Parker                                      17                                                               3                                                               8.5

8. Allen Crabbe                                       8                                                                1.2                                                             2

9. Deandre Bembry                                 4                                                                 2                                                               3.5

10 Evan Turner                                       3.5                                                               5                                                               3

11. Damien Jones                                  2                                                                  .3                                                              2.5

12 Bruno Fernando                                5.5                                                              .2                                                              3.5

 

[hazer]

2 hours ago, Peoriabird said:

He did it against children not grown men.  Plus his minutes will be limited

Against children (not grown men), here’s some other college rebounds per game:

Embiid ~ 8.1

Davis ~  10.4

Cousins ~ 9.8

Collins ~ 9.8

Ayton ~ 11.6

KAT ~ 6.7

Noah ~ 8.4

I think you get my point, Bruno is in good company with his “rebounding against kids” nimbers. Even at only 5 mins/nt he’ll be grabbing more than 1 per.

[Buzzard]

2 minutes ago, hazer said:

Against children (not grown men), here’s some other college rebounds per game:

Embiid ~ 8.1

Davis ~  10.4

Cousins ~ 9.8

Collins ~ 9.8

Ayton ~ 11.6

KAT ~ 6.7

Noah ~ 8.4

I think you get my point, Bruno is in good company with his “rebounding against kids” nimbers. Even at only 5 mins/nt he’ll be grabbing more than 1 per.

No reason to think he cannot end up getting 5 and 5 for a month of games later on. Preseason should tell us something about how Jones and Bruno will be rotated at the start of the season.

[hazer]

15 minutes ago, hazer said:

Against children (not grown men), here’s some other college rebounds per game:

Embiid ~ 8.1

Davis ~  10.4

Cousins ~ 9.8

Collins ~ 9.8

Ayton ~ 11.6

KAT ~ 6.7

Noah ~ 8.4

I think you get my point, Bruno is in good company with his “rebounding against kids” nimbers. Even at only 5 mins/nt he’ll be grabbing more than 1 per.

Take a good look at those names again Peo. Out of Embiid, Davis, Cousins, Collins, Ayton, KAT, and Noah, only Ayton outrebounded Bruno in college. At’s elite company right der. Bruno would average 1 rpg wearing his warmups never leaving the bench

Edited July 19, 2019 by hazer

[AHF]

41 minutes ago, hazer said:

Take a good look at those names again Peo. Out of Embiid, Davis, Cousins, Collins, Ayton, KAT, and Noah, only Ayton outrebounded Bruno in college. At’s elite company right der. Bruno would average 1 rpg wearing his warmups never leaving the bench

You should be comparing apples to apples based on age, though.  Bruno is older than basically all of those guys but Noah.  

If you look at the numbers, rebounding has a solid correlation between college and NBA production with only assists and blocks getting stronger R^2 values.  His rebounding should predict NBA performance dramatically better than, for example, scoring numbers translate. 

That correlation suggests that Bruno should be pretty solid in rebounding based on his 20.2% TRB%.  You can compare that to JC who had a 21.1%, Embiid 20.5%, Cousins 22.5%, Davis 19.0% and Ayton at 21.4%.  This would give you hope that Bruno will likely be productive on the boards in the minutes he gets.  

For a couple current and past Hawk big men (using the second half of their college career if multiyear):

Alex Len had a 21.2% TRB% in college and 17.1% in the NBA

Dedmon 17.5% in college and 18.2% in the NBA

JC 21.1% in college and 17.0% in the NBA

 

No number is perfectly predictive but rebounding is a strong one.